No Image

Nowcasting New Zealand GDP using machine learning algorithms, by Adam Richardson; Thomas van Florenstein Mulder; Tugrul Vehbi

November 12, 2018 Bilal 0

Nowcasting New Zealand GDP using machine learning algorithms, by Adam Richardson; Thomas van Florenstein Mulder; Tugrul Vehbi https://ift.tt/2OBSg4E Author Abstract This paper analyses the real-time nowcasting performance of machine learning algorithms estimated on New Zealand data. Using a large set of real-time quarterly macroeconomic indicators, we train a range of popular machine learning algorithms and nowcast real GDP growth for each quarter over the 2009Q1-2018Q1 period. We compare the predictive accuracy of these nowcasts with that of other traditional univariate and multivariate statistical models. We find that the machine learning algorithms outperform the traditional statistical models. Moreover, combining the individual […]